ON Semiconductor (ON)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 30 word markets on ON Semiconductor’s earnings calls since 2026, on 20 different words. Next call: Nov 2, 2026 (11 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

11 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

ON Semiconductor: the words listed for Mon, Nov 2, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
EV / Electric Vehicle15 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said8 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said9 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said5 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said1 time: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said7 times: EV / Electric Vehicle, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%38/8147%92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Autonomous / Automation2 times: Autonomous / Automation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Autonomous / Automation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Autonomous / Automation, Q1’25 May '251 time: Autonomous / Automation, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Autonomous / Automation, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said4 times: Autonomous / Automation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Autonomous / Automation, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Autonomous / Automation, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%33/8141%80%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Headwind1 time: Headwind, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Nov '255 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising6/875%0/80%40/8149%78%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts61¢ Kalshi
Market Share1 time: Market Share, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Market Share, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Market Share, Q4’25 Feb '261 time: Market Share, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%3/838%39/8148%70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Backlog0 times: Backlog, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Backlog, Q4’24 Feb '252 times: Backlog, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Backlog, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: Backlog, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Backlog, Q4’25 Feb '263 times: Backlog, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said1 time: Backlog, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising4/850%2/825%72/8189%63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts57¢ Kalshi
NIO0 times: NIO, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: NIO, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: NIO, Q1’25 May '250 times: NIO, Q2’25 Aug '252 times: NIO, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: NIO, Q4’25 Feb '261 time: NIO, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: NIO, Q2’26 Aug '26rising2/825%2/825%3/814%39%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Nvidia2 times: Nvidia, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Nvidia, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Nvidia, Q1’25 May '251 time: Nvidia, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Nvidia, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Nvidia, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Nvidia, Q1’26 May '261 time: Nvidia, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling4/850%4/850%4/815%37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Sineng Electric0 times: Sineng Electric, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Sineng Electric, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Sineng Electric, Q1’25 May '250 times: Sineng Electric, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Sineng Electric, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Sineng Electric, Q4’25 Feb '261 time: Sineng Electric, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Sineng Electric, Q2’26 Aug '26steady1/812%1/812%1/811%31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts30¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Oct '242 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said12 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said4 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said2 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Tariff, Q1’26 May '260 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26falling4/850%4/850%7/819%30%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts28¢ Kalshi
Tailwind0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Oct '242 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 May '260 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Aug '26falling4/850%1/812%33/8141%27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
Metanever said0 times: Meta, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Meta, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Meta, Q1’25 May '250 times: Meta, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Meta, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Meta, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Meta, Q1’26 May '260 times: Meta, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts16¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:09 UTC.

Every word

1–9 of 9, most settled first
ON Semiconductor: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Aug '25Q3’25Nov '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26May '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
AI8 times: AI, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said9 times: AI, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: AI, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said17 times: AI, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said30 times: AI, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said31 times: AI, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said34 times: AI, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said45 times: AI, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%18/8122%96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
China26 times: China, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said12 times: China, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said30 times: China, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said17 times: China, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said13 times: China, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said2 times: China, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said13 times: China, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said17 times: China, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%65/8180%94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
AMD0 times: AMD, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: AMD, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: AMD, Q1’25 May '250 times: AMD, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: AMD, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: AMD, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: AMD, Q1’26 May '260 times: AMD, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%4/815%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Export0 times: Export, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Export, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Export, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Export, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Export, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Export, Q4’25 Feb '262 times: Export, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said0 times: Export, Q2’26 Aug '26rising2/825%1/812%4/815%27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
VRAM/RAMnever said0 times: VRAM/RAM, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: VRAM/RAM, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: VRAM/RAM, Q1’25 May '250 times: VRAM/RAM, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: VRAM/RAM, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: VRAM/RAM, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: VRAM/RAM, Q1’26 May '260 times: VRAM/RAM, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Rare Earthnever said0 times: Rare Earth, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Rare Earth, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Rare Earth, Q1’25 May '250 times: Rare Earth, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Rare Earth, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Rare Earth, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Rare Earth, Q1’26 May '260 times: Rare Earth, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Taiwan0 times: Taiwan, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Taiwan, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Taiwan, Q1’25 May '250 times: Taiwan, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Taiwan, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Taiwan, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Taiwan, Q1’26 May '260 times: Taiwan, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%1/811%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Trumpnever said0 times: Trump, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Trump, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Trump, Q1’25 May '250 times: Trump, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Trump, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Trump, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Trump, Q1’26 May '260 times: Trump, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Xi0 times: Xi, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Xi, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Xi, Q1’25 May '250 times: Xi, Q2’25 Aug '250 times: Xi, Q3’25 Nov '250 times: Xi, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Xi, Q1’26 May '260 times: Xi, Q2’26 Aug '26steady0/80%0/80%1/811%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 30 of 30 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Citeparrot.markets, “ON Semiconductor (ON): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ON (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/on-semiconductor · words: /api/v1/history?entity=on-semiconductor · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP