ON Semiconductor (ON): FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026

On its May 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), ON Semiconductor said 7 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
EV / Electric Vehicle Yes88✓90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Backlog Yes33✓36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Autonomous / Automation Yes22✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headwind Yes11✓68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Market Share Yes11✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
NIO Yes11✓24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sineng Electric Yes11✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No00✓29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

34 matches for “AI”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Hassane El-Khourycompanyprepared

…quarter marks a clear inflection point for onsemi. Improving demand signals, accelerating AI data center growth, and sustained gross margin expansion demonstrate that the structural…

Hassane El-Khourycompanyprepared

…of $0.64, both above the midpoint of guidance, driven by growth in AI data center. We expanded gross margin for the third consecutive quarter to…

Hassane El-Khourycompanyprepared

…than 2.5x sequentially, and we saw broader adoption across high-volume automotive, industrial, and AI applications, with Treo design wins supporting the transition to software-defined vehicles.

Hassane El-Khourycompanyprepared

…deliver high power density, efficiency, and ease of use in humanoid applications, AI data centers, and automotive. Our overall GaN solutions design funnel, which includes…

Hassane El-Khourycompanyprepared

…supporting long-term growth opportunities for onsemi in automotive power globally. Turning to AI data centers, our revenue grew more than 30% quarter-over-quarter, nearly double our…

Where the listed words were said

Hassane El-Khourycompany“EV / Electric Vehicle” · prepared

…than 30 Treo devices, enabling end-zone connectivity. Higher energy costs are accelerating EV demand, with cost-optimized EV platforms driving increased adoption of IGBT-based traction inverter…

Thad Trentcompany“Backlog” · prepared

…and free cash flow. In the first quarter, order patterns and improving backlog visibility indicate that we are moving away from the bottom of the…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“Autonomous / Automation” · prepared

…technology were selected to enable reliable depth perception and navigation in autonomous systems. Our roadmap spans complementary modalities, including high-resolution imaging, depth, and…

Thad Trentcompany“Headwind” · qa

…improves, you know, you'll see that as well. We've also had some headwinds on cost input costs going up, our pricing actions are now going…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“Market Share” · prepared

…market in 2026, with more than 40% revenue growth year-over-year and a market share approaching 60%, and are now ramping revenue for a large U.S.…

Hassane El-Khourycompany“NIO” · prepared

…Show in April is approximately 55%. Recent expanded collaborations with Geely and NIO highlight our role in enabling these customers to scale globally with their…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/on-semiconductor:2026-05-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=on-semiconductor:2026-05-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP