TBPN: Episode, Mar 31, 2026
On the Mar 31, 2026 episode of TBPN, 6 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart | Yes | 2 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 126 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blood Pressure | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LeBron | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ronaldo | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sleep | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| FDA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IPO | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oura | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recovery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subscription | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPublisher transcript · TBPN podcast transcript (publisher RSS) · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
1 match for “Blood Pressure”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…product that can detect whether you have AFib and tell you your blood pressure every morning and help you do blood tests. So it's just…
Where the listed words were said
We'll do a whoop live heart rate on some of the stunts.
…it, supplements being part of it, concierge doctors being part of it, AI health coaching being part of it. But broadly speaking, it's I think…
…the history of WHOOP with the world class athletes. We've added now LeBron James is a new WHOOP investor. We've got Cristiano Ronaldo on the…
…I go, people want to talk about how they can improve their sleep or improve their VO2 max or what is heart rate variability. So…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/tbpn:2026-03-31:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=tbpn:2026-03-31:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP