CrowdStrike (CRWD): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2026

On its Mar 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), CrowdStrike said 8 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Acquisition Yes1112✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
SGNL / Signal Yes88✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Falcon Flex Yes77✓96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Consolidation Yes77✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hyperscaler Yes67✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AWS Yes33✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Microsoft Yes34✓36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia Yes22✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Outage No00✓59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gen AI / Generative AI No00✓50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hack / Hacker No00✓41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Shadow No00✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “OpenAI”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

George Kurtzcompanyprepared

…four, token factories, securing the use of frontier model creators like Anthropic, OpenAI and Google Gemini; and five, AI applications and in agents securing AI…

Where the listed words were said

George Kurtzcompany“Acquisition” · prepared

…ending ARR grew more than 300% year-over-year, more than 5x since our acquisition of Adaptive Shield, as customers protect the rapidly growing agentic SaaS attack…

George Kurtzcompany“SGNL / Signal” · prepared

…approximately 2 trillion vertices, analyzing 15-plus petabytes of data, structured, queryable, security signals at scale no one can replicate. Frontier models can augment security, summarize…

George Kurtzcompany“Falcon Flex” · prepared

…delivered $1.69 billion in ending ARR from accounts that have adopted the Falcon Flex subscription model, growing more than 120% year-over-year, turbocharging our land-and-expand motion.…

George Kurtzcompany“Consolidation” · prepared

…ease of use of our ITDR and PAM solutions in a Flex consolidation. While our Next-Gen Identity business had an excellent quarter, we're most excited…

George Kurtzcompany“Hyperscaler” · prepared

…$1.3 billion spanning market-leading partners like Kroll, Pax8, and NinjaOne. Finally, our hyperscaler leadership continues to differentiate CrowdStrike from every other cybersecurity player. This…

George Kurtzcompany“AWS” · qa

…In fact, as you've seen with our results and our partnership with AWS, as an example, we transact billions through these platforms, and they're a…

George Kurtzcompany“Microsoft” · prepared

…CrowdStrike's go-to-market team together. We are now open for business on the Microsoft marketplace and customers can use their Microsoft Azure consumption commitment dollars on…

George Kurtzcompany“Nvidia” · prepared

…must be secured at every level, including: one, GPU foundation, partnering with NVIDIA, AMD, Intel and others to secure AI at the source; two, hardware…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/crowdstrike:2026-03-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=crowdstrike:2026-03-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP