Will CrowdStrike say “Outage”?

CrowdStrike did not say “Outage” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 4, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, CrowdStrike did not say “Outage” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 19% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

19%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

CrowdStrike

Outage

Probability
19% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jun 3, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Dec 2, 2025 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 27, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Burt PodberecompanypreparedIn transcript

…Holdings, Inc. was $77.7 million and included $35.7 million of expenses for outage and related matters and $38.4 million of strategic plan-related charges. Non-GAAP net…

Burt PodberecompanypreparedIn transcript

…free cash flow of $283.6 million or 24% of revenue. Expenses for outage-related and strategic plan costs impacted Q2 free cash flow by approximately $29…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jun 3, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Burt PodberecompanypreparedIn transcript

…Holdings, Inc. was $110.2 million and included $39.7 million of expenses for outage and related matters. Non-GAAP net income attributable to CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. was…

Burt PodberecompanypreparedIn transcript

…free cash flow was $279.4 million or 25% of revenue. Expenses for outage and related matters impacted Q1 free cash flow by approximately $61 million.…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Burt PodberecompanypreparedIn transcript

…of FY 2026, we expect cash impacts of approximately $73 million for outage-related costs, including incremental sales compensation, as well as $43 million due to…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 26, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 3, 2026OutageKalshiNo0
Mar 4, 2026OutageKalshiNo0
Dec 2, 2025OutageKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did CrowdStrike say “Outage” on its last earnings call?
CrowdStrike did not say “Outage” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 4, 4, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does CrowdStrike say “Outage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, CrowdStrike did not say “Outage” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 2, 2025.
What is the probability CrowdStrike says “Outage” next time?
19%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “CrowdStrike: ‘Outage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CRWD/words/outage (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=crowdstrike&word=outage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=crowdstrike&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP