CrowdStrike (CRWD): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2026

On its Mar 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), CrowdStrike said 8 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Acquisition Yes1112✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
SGNL / Signal Yes88✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Falcon Flex Yes77✓96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Consolidation Yes77✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hyperscaler Yes67✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AWS Yes33✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Microsoft Yes34✓36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia Yes22✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Outage No00✓59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gen AI / Generative AI No00✓50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hack / Hacker No00✓41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Shadow No00✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Nvidia”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

George Kurtzcompanyprepared

…must be secured at every level, including: one, GPU foundation, partnering with NVIDIA, AMD, Intel and others to secure AI at the source; two, hardware…

George Kurtzcompanyqa

…forward. Customers want to leverage their own models. We leverage Nemotron with NVIDIA. It's an unbelievable time to be in tech, and you're going to…

Where the listed words were said

George Kurtzcompany“Acquisition” · prepared

…ending ARR grew more than 300% year-over-year, more than 5x since our acquisition of Adaptive Shield, as customers protect the rapidly growing agentic SaaS attack…

George Kurtzcompany“SGNL / Signal” · prepared

…approximately 2 trillion vertices, analyzing 15-plus petabytes of data, structured, queryable, security signals at scale no one can replicate. Frontier models can augment security, summarize…

George Kurtzcompany“Falcon Flex” · prepared

…delivered $1.69 billion in ending ARR from accounts that have adopted the Falcon Flex subscription model, growing more than 120% year-over-year, turbocharging our land-and-expand motion.…

George Kurtzcompany“Consolidation” · prepared

…ease of use of our ITDR and PAM solutions in a Flex consolidation. While our Next-Gen Identity business had an excellent quarter, we're most excited…

George Kurtzcompany“Hyperscaler” · prepared

…$1.3 billion spanning market-leading partners like Kroll, Pax8, and NinjaOne. Finally, our hyperscaler leadership continues to differentiate CrowdStrike from every other cybersecurity player. This…

George Kurtzcompany“AWS” · qa

…In fact, as you've seen with our results and our partnership with AWS, as an example, we transact billions through these platforms, and they're a…

George Kurtzcompany“Microsoft” · prepared

…CrowdStrike's go-to-market team together. We are now open for business on the Microsoft marketplace and customers can use their Microsoft Azure consumption commitment dollars on…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/crowdstrike:2026-03-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=crowdstrike:2026-03-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP