Nike (NKE): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 30, 2025
On its Sep 30, 2025 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Nike said 11 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 11 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | 27 | 28 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Inventory | Yes | 19 | 21 | ✓ | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| North America | Yes | 17 | 18 | ✓ | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Jordan | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Sustainable | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 75%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Supply Chain | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Sabrina | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Nike Factory | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Amazon | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 41%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Express Lane | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 66%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tatum | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Retailer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Direct to Consumer / DTC | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Consumer Demand | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Digital Sales | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
25 matches for “Wholesale”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…drove momentum in the areas we prioritized first: Running, North America, and wholesale partners. It showed that we are making the right choices. Consumers are…
…from our ultimate goal of elevating an integrated marketplace. Digital, and physical, wholesale and NIKE Direct, in all geographies. Greater China, as I mentioned on…
…down 5%, with NIKE Digital declining 12%, and NIKE stores down 1%. Wholesale grew 5%. Gross margins declined 320 basis points to 42.2% on a…
…Direct declined 3%, with NIKE Digital down 10% and NIKE Stores flat. Wholesale grew 11%, EBIT declined 7% on a reported basis. North America is…
…our classic footwear franchises. As it relates to the North America marketplace, wholesale returned to growth in the quarter, partially due to shipment timing in…
Where the listed words were said
…There is significant work ahead, especially in the areas of sportswear, Greater China, and NIKE Direct. And as I have said to the team, progress…
…Jordan, and Converse brands. Air Force One is stabilizing. Air Jordan one inventory levels are returning to health. The dunk continues to be managed aggressively…
…the full marketplace is in the early innings. The positive is that North America, where we invested first, took some big steps forward this quarter.…
…are turning our business around in the face of a cautious consumer, tariff uncertainty, and teams that are still settling into the sport offense. We…
…new formation and ways of working will align our three brands, NIKE, Jordan, and Converse, into more nimble, focused teams by sport. We will gain…
…And there is still work to do to return to driving consistent, sustainable, profitable long-term growth. With that, I'll pass the call back to Elliott.
…we return to organic growth, we will drive operating leverage on our supply chain costs, on our retail overhead, and on our general operating overhead.…
…new product innovation and NIKE athlete activations on the ground with Jaw, Sabrina, and LeBron. Aggressive marketplace actions have reduced owned and partner inventory. However,…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nike:2025-09-30:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nike:2025-09-30:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP