Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, May 4, 2025

Sun, May 4AppearanceHistory onlyBerkshire Hathaway

On May 4, 2025, Berkshire Hathaway said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Apple Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Cash Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
China Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Claim Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Energy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
GEICO Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Railroad Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Wildfire Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Airline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Buyback No–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Cryptocurrency No–new new word, no probability yet–
Succession No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

We don't have this transcript yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/berkshire-hathaway:2025-05-04:other-annual-meeting · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=berkshire-hathaway:2025-05-04:other-annual-meeting · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP