What is the probability Berkshire Hathaway says “Wildfire” next time?

68%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Will Berkshire Hathaway say “Wildfire”?

Name: Berkshire Hathaway: “Wildfire” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 23, 2026, Berkshire Hathaway said “Wildfire” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 4, 2025.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: company speakers

Updated Oct 23, 2026, 23:20 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Berkshire Hathaway

Wildfire

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: company speakers

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 4, 2025	Wildfire	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Berkshire Hathaway say “Wildfire”?: As of Oct 23, 2026, Berkshire Hathaway said “Wildfire” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 4, 2025.
What is the probability Berkshire Hathaway says “Wildfire” next time?: 68%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Berkshire Hathaway: ‘Wildfire’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BRK-B/words/wildfire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=berkshire-hathaway&word=wildfire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=berkshire-hathaway&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP