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Tue, Dec 1, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

1 eventData updated Oct 26, 2026, 22:54 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

said / not said on each settled listing
no appearance
chance it is said next time

Tue, Dec 1

1 event

NVIDIANVIDIA GTC Washington, D.C. Keynote

NVIDIA: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
TSMCK 76¢	TSMC: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	TSMC: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	TSMC: said, 5 listings before the last	TSMC: not said, 4 listings before the last	TSMC: not said, 3 listings before the last	TSMC: not said, 2 listings before the last	TSMC: said, 1 listing before the last	TSMC: said, the last settled listing	81% from settlement history
Physical AIK 64¢	Physical AI: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Physical AI: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Physical AI: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
OmniverseK 74¢	Omniverse: said, 7 listings before the last	Omniverse: said, 6 listings before the last	Omniverse: said, 5 listings before the last	Omniverse: said, 4 listings before the last	Omniverse: not said, 3 listings before the last	Omniverse: said, 2 listings before the last	Omniverse: not said, 1 listing before the last	Omniverse: said, the last settled listing	56% from settlement history
CosmosK 83¢	Cosmos: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Cosmos: said, 6 listings before the last	Cosmos: said, 5 listings before the last	Cosmos: said, 4 listings before the last	Cosmos: not said, 3 listings before the last	Cosmos: said, 2 listings before the last	Cosmos: not said, 1 listing before the last	Cosmos: said, the last settled listing	56% from settlement history
HermesK 66¢	Hermes: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Hermes: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Hermes: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Hermes: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Hermes: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Hermes: not said, 2 listings before the last	Hermes: not said, 1 listing before the last	Hermes: said, the last settled listing	53% from settlement history
HumanoidK 82¢	Humanoid: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Humanoid: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Humanoid: not said, 5 listings before the last	Humanoid: not said, 4 listings before the last	Humanoid: said, 3 listings before the last	Humanoid: not said, 2 listings before the last	Humanoid: not said, 1 listing before the last	Humanoid: said, the last settled listing	53% from settlement history

Kalshi+11 more words Last call · Aug 26, 2026