Will Satya Nadella say “Google / Gemini”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Satya Nadella saying “Google / Gemini” has settled yet.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Oct 28, 2025), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only). No keynotes among them yet.

38%base rate for a new wordNext: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
23¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Satya Nadella

Google / Gemini

Probability
38% · prior
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Satya NadellaguestTBPN Podcast, October 28, 2025: Satya Nadella LIVE on TBPN | Alexander Embiricos, Kyle Daigle, Jay Parikh, Jared Palmer, Michael Grinich · Oct 28, 2025 · 30:12In transcript

…Yeah. Hey. I'm happy with OpenAI. I would love to have Anthropic, MAI, anyone. If Google wants to put Gemini on Azure, please do so.

What will Satya Nadella say during the TBPN Podcast? · not listed

Open the appearance

Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Satya Nadella: ‘Google / Gemini’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/satya-nadella/words/gemini-or-google (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=satya-nadella&word=gemini%20%2F%20google · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=satya-nadella&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP