Will Ross Ulbricht say “Prison”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ross Ulbricht said “Prison” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; May 29, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ross Ulbricht
Prison
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
19 counted.
[Applause] Hey gang. So, I'm not in a prison cell anymore. Yep. I'm standing on this stage right here in front of you on this…
…their way, I would have grown old and eventually died still in prison. Instead, I'm here with you. Just a few months ago, I was…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Ross Ulbricht say “Prison”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Ross Ulbricht said “Prison” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Ross Ulbricht says “Prison” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ross Ulbricht: ‘Prison’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/ross-ulbricht/words/prison (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ross-ulbricht&word=prison · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ross-ulbricht&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP