Will Ross Ulbricht say “FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Ross Ulbricht did not say “FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; May 29, 2025), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ross Ulbricht
FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Ross Ulbricht say “FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Ross Ulbricht did not say “FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Ross Ulbricht says “FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ross Ulbricht: ‘FBI / Federal Bureau of Investigations’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/ross-ulbricht/words/fbi-or-federal-bureau-of-investigation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ross-ulbricht&word=fbi%20%2F%20federal%20bureau%20of%20investigation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ross-ulbricht&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP