Will Matt Murphy say “AWS / Amazon”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Matt Murphy said “AWS / Amazon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 1, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jun 1, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Matt Murphy
AWS / Amazon
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted.
…then it was still the same ones as today, companies like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta. And more specifically, from the semiconductor technologies required to move,…
…which is the reason why your customers and mine NVIDIA is in AWS, Marvell's in AWS, NVIDIA is in all of the clouds and it's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | AWS / Amazon |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Matt Murphy say “AWS / Amazon”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Matt Murphy said “AWS / Amazon” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Matt Murphy says “AWS / Amazon” next time?
- 73%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Matt Murphy: ‘AWS / Amazon’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/matt-murphy/words/amazon-or-aws (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=matt-murphy&word=amazon%20%2F%20aws · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=matt-murphy&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP