Larry Fink
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Larry Fink’s appearances since 2025, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Dec 4 ’25latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Settled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bubble | Settled yes: Bubble, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China | Settled yes: China, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Deficit | Settled yes: Deficit, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Private Credit | Settled yes: Private Credit, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Recession | Settled yes: Recession, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Volatility | Settled yes: Volatility, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ethereum | Settled no: Ethereum, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Private Market / Private Equity | Settled no: Private Market / Private Equity, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stock Market | Settled no: Stock Market, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Settled no: Tariff, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Dec 4 ’25 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | KeynoteWhat will Larry Fink say during the NYT DealBook Summit? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Larry Fink: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/larry-fink (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/larry-fink · words: /api/v1/history?entity=larry-fink · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP