Judson Althoff

Name: Judson Althoff: mention market word history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Business · Tech leadersPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 11:04 UTC

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on Judson Althoff’s appearances since 2025, on 15 different words.

History Wall

1–15 of 15, most settled first

Judson Althoff: every word with settled markets, most settled first
Word	Nov 19 ’25latest	Last 1	Settled	Probability
Agent	Settled yes: Agent, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Automation	Settled yes: Automation, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Demo	Settled yes: Demo, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Human	Settled yes: Human, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Activision	Settled no: Activision, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bill Gates	Settled no: Bill Gates, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bing	Settled no: Bing, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gaming	Settled no: Gaming, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Generative AI / Gen AI	Settled no: Generative AI / Gen AI, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Investment	Settled no: Investment, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Nvidia	Settled no: Nvidia, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
OpenAI	Settled no: OpenAI, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Quantum	Settled no: Quantum, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Security	Settled no: Security, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Semiconductor	Settled no: Semiconductor, Nov 19 ’25 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
N: settled no
not listed
probability next time, with n
Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N: of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled: every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability: the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 1

Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
Date	Appearance	Text	Words	Settled	Our count agreed
Nov 19, 2025	KeynoteWhat will Judson Althoff say during the Microsoft Keynote?	no transcript	15	4 yes · 11 no	–

Citeparrot.markets, “Judson Althoff: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/judson-althoff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/judson-althoff · words: /api/v1/history?entity=judson-althoff · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP