Jeff Yan
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 22 word markets on Jeff Yan’s appearances since 2025, on 19 different words.
History Wall
1–19 of 19, most settled first| Word | Oct 22 ’25latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin / BTC | 19 times: Bitcoin / BTC, Oct 22 ’25 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| DeFi | 4 times: DeFi, Oct 22 ’25 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Exchange | 7 times: Exchange, Oct 22 ’25 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Aster | 0 times: Aster, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Binance | 0 times: Binance, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Builder codes3+ times | 0 times: Builder codes 3+ times, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| CZ / Changpeng Zhao | 0 times: CZ / Changpeng Zhao, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Crash | 0 times: Crash, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Gas Fee | 0 times: Gas Fee, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| HIP33+ times | 1 time: HIP3 3+ times, Oct 22 ’25 episode, below the threshold | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Korea | 0 times: Korea, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| L1 / Layer One | 0 times: L1 / Layer One, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Liquidation | 0 times: Liquidation, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Liquidity4+ times | 3 times: Liquidity 4+ times, Oct 22 ’25 episode, below the threshold | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Phantom | 0 times: Phantom, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Prediction market | 0 times: Prediction market, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| SOLA | 0 times: SOLA, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Solana | 0 times: Solana, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| USDH | 0 times: USDH, Oct 22 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Jeff Yan say during the TBPN Podcast? | Speaker-labelled captions | 22 | 3 yes · 19 no | 22/22 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Jeff Yan: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jeff-yan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jeff-yan · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jeff-yan · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP