Karine Jean-Pierre
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Karine Jean-Pierre’s appearances since 2025, on 12 different words.
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Oct 21 ’25latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Said: Biden, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Economy | Said: Economy, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Kamala | Said: Kamala, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Dementia | Not said: Dementia, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Free Speech | Not said: Free Speech, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Leavitt | Not said: Leavitt, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| New York | Not said: New York, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| No King | Not said: No King, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Retire / Retirement | Not said: Retire / Retirement, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Not said: Shutdown / Shut Down, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Trump3+ times | Not said: Trump (3+ times), Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Woke | Not said: Woke, Oct 21 ’25 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Karine Jean-Pierre say during the The Late Show With Stephen Colbert? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Karine Jean-Pierre: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karine-jean-pierre (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/karine-jean-pierre · words: /api/v1/history?entity=karine-jean-pierre · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP