Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja
vsFinal
Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
PolymarketWords
13 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | Fighters | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takedown / Take down 3+ times | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 52%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Nasty | 4/667% | 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes | – | 67% n=6 | 49%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Dagestan / Russian | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Nurmagomedov / Khabib | 1/425% | 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes | – | – | 46%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Submission | 3/560% | 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes | – | 60% n=5 | 46%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | 49/9452% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes no no | – | 52% n=83 | 46%n=94 from settlement history | No | – |
| Combination / Sequence 3+ times | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 33%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Blood / Bloody / Bloodied | 27/9329% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no yes yes yes | – | 29% n=83 | 33%n=93 from settlement history | No | – |
| Choke | 30/9233% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no yes yes yes | – | 34% n=83 | 31%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Guillotine | 1/617% | 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no | – | 17% n=6 | 27%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Armbar / Arm Bar | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 17%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goat | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 17%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nice Jab / Good Jab 3+ times | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | 0% n=5 | 16%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=ufc-and-boxing%3A2026-09-19%3Agame-van-pantoja · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP