Luke Riley vs Michael Aswell
vsFinal
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
16 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | Fighters | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision / Judged | 10/1759% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes no no yes | – | 56% n=16 | 56%n=17 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | 9/1560% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no no | – | 57% n=14 | 55%n=15 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | 10/1856% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no no yes | – | 53% n=17 | 53%n=18 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triangle | 7/1741% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes yes no no no | – | 44% n=16 | 41%n=17 from settlement history | No | – |
| Tired / Tiring | 6/1833% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no no no yes | – | 29% n=17 | 34%n=18 from settlement history | No | – |
| Blood / Bloody | 6/1833% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes no no no no no | – | 29% n=17 | 33%n=18 from settlement history | No | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | 5/1729% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes no no no | – | 31% n=16 | 30%n=17 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Championship | 5/1828% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no no no | – | 29% n=17 | 30%n=18 from settlement history | No | – |
| O2 Arena | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Texas Kid | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | 4/1822% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no no | – | 24% n=17 | 25%n=18 from settlement history | No | – |
| Legal / Illegal | 2/1712% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no yes | – | 12% n=16 | 16%n=17 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Fight | 0/60% | 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no | – | 0% n=6 | 10%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Dana | 1/195% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 6% n=17 | 9%n=19 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Lights Out | 0/180% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=16 | 4%n=18 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=ufc-and-boxing%3A2026-03-21%3Agame-riley-aswell · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP