Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira
vsFinal
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
35 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | Fighters | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasty | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | 7/1258% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 55% n=11 | 55%n=12 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Train / Trained / Training | 5/956% | 5/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes yes no | – | 50% n=8 | 49%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Decision / Judged | 6/1155% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes no yes yes no | – | 50% n=10 | 47%n=11 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| BMF | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Butterfly | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Combination / Sequence 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Dividend | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Gas Tank / Tired | 4/1233% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no yes yes no | – | 27% n=11 | 45%n=12 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nice Jab / Good Jab 3+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Guillotine | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Holloway / Oliveira 15+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Spinning | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Submission | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Takedown / Take down 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| White House / Trump | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| UFC History | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| T-Mobile | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Blood / Bloody | 5/1242% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no yes no yes | – | 36% n=11 | 39%n=12 from settlement history | No | – |
| Triangle | 4/1136% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no yes no | – | 40% n=10 | 37%n=11 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Eye poke | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Tired / Tiring | 4/1233% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no yes yes no | – | 27% n=11 | 34%n=12 from settlement history | No | – |
| Championship | 3/1225% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no yes no no | – | 27% n=11 | 29%n=12 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | 3/1127% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes yes no no | – | 30% n=10 | 29%n=11 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Blessed | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Flores | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Lima | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Predator | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Rematch | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | 3/1225% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no yes | – | 27% n=11 | 28%n=12 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Fight | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 17%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Smashed / Smashing | 1/138% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 9% n=11 | 13%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| Dana | 1/138% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | – | 9% n=11 | 13%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| Legal / Illegal | 0/110% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=10 | 6%n=11 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lights Out | 0/130% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=11 | 5%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=ufc-and-boxing%3A2026-03-07%3Agame-holloway-oliveira · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP