Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira
vsFinal
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
17 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | Fighters | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triangle | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Championship | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes | – | – | 47%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Choke / Choked / Chokehold | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no | – | – | 37%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Decision / Judge | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 37%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Slip / Slips / Slipped | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 37%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Blood / Bloody | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no | – | – | 32%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Smashed / Smashing | 1/425% | 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no | – | – | 32%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Tired / Tiring | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no | – | – | 32%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lok Dog | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Meta | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Train / Trained / Training | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Adrenaline | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Legal / Illegal | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 19%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 16%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| McGregor | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 16%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Dana | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 14%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Lights Out | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 14%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=ufc-and-boxing%3A2026-02-07%3Agame-bautista-oliveira · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP