What is the probability “Challenge / Challenged” is said on NBA broadcasts next time?

70%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Will “Challenge / Challenged” be said on the next NBA broadcast?

Name: NBA: “Challenge / Challenged” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Challenge / Challenged” was said on NBA broadcasts in 7 of 7 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 3, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

70%from settlement history only · n=7counts: play-by-play or color

Last 10: 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 7 times
Counts: play-by-play or color

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 10:00 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NBA

Challenge / Challenged

Probability: 70% · n=7
Settled: 7/7 (100%)

Next listing counts: play-by-play or color

We don’t have transcripts for NBA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Dec 3, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 2, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 2, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 2, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 2, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 2, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes
Nov 29, 2025	Challenge / Challenged	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Challenge / Challenged” said on NBA broadcasts?: As of Oct 27, 2026, “Challenge / Challenged” was said on NBA broadcasts in 7 of 7 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 3, 2025.
What is the probability “Challenge / Challenged” is said on NBA broadcasts next time?: 70%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Cite parrot.markets, “NBA: ‘Challenge / Challenged’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/nba/words/challenge-or-challenged (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nba&word=challenge%20%2F%20challenged · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nba&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP