Lindsey Graham
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Lindsey Graham’s appearances since 2026, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Jun 21latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | 1 time: Biden, Jun 21 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democrat | 2 times: Democrat, Jun 21 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Hormuz | 4 times: Hormuz, Jun 21 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Israel / Israeli | 9 times: Israel / Israeli, Jun 21 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump3+ times | 10 times: Trump (3+ times), Jun 21 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Election | 0 times: Election, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE / Save America Act | 0 times: ICE / Save America Act, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| NATO | 0 times: NATO, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Nuclear | 0 times: Nuclear, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0 times: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 21 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | 12/12 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Lindsey Graham: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/lindsey-graham (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/lindsey-graham · words: /api/v1/history?entity=lindsey-graham · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP