Gutfeld!
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Gutfeld! since 2026, on 14 different words.
History Wall
1–14 of 14, most settled first| Word | May 28latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen / Bass | Settled yes: Karen / Bass, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Common Sense | Settled yes: Common Sense, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democrat | Settled yes: Democrat, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fentanyl / Zombie | Settled yes: Fentanyl / Zombie, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Newsom | Settled yes: Newsom, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wildfire / Palisades | Settled yes: Wildfire / Palisades, May 28 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence , May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crime / Criminal | Settled no: Crime / Criminal, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fraud | Settled no: Fraud, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Reality TV / Hollywood | Settled no: Reality TV / Hollywood, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Settled no: Homeless / Homelessness, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| June 2 | Settled no: June 2, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, May 28 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Spencer Pratt say during Fox News: Gutfeld!? | no transcript | 15 | 6 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Gutfeld!: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/gutfeld (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/gutfeld · words: /api/v1/history?entity=gutfeld · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP