Will Visa say “Holiday”?

Visa did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 9, 0, 2, 5, 5, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Visa said “Holiday” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

60%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
45¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Visa

Holiday

Probability
60% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ryan Mc InerneycompanypreparedIn transcript

…to our 2026 fiscal year, driven by strong driver growth, a strong holiday season, and continued execution of our strategy across consumer payments, commercial and…

Christopher SuhcompanypreparedIn transcript

…volume, both discretionary and nondiscretionary spend remain strong. Honing in on the holiday season specifically, which we define as the period from November 1 to…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 28, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Christopher SuhcompanypreparedIn transcript

…efforts in virtual card and some improvement in CEMEA outbound due to holiday timing. With that as a backdrop, I'll move to discuss our financial…

Christopher SuhcompanyqaIn transcript

…spend, nondiscretionary like fuel and groceries and discretionary items like travel or holidays, goods, services, consumer, commercial and so really some of the broadest spend…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Christopher SuhcompanyqaIn transcript

…did see variation from month-to-month for the factors that we talked about: holiday, timing of Easter, Ramadan, weakness in currency, U.S. to Canada. All those…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 28, 2026HolidayKalshiNo0
Jan 29, 2026HolidayKalshiYes5

Questions

How many times did Visa say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
Visa did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 9, 0, 2, 5, 5, 0, 0 times.
How often does Visa say “Holiday”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Visa said “Holiday” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026.
What is the probability Visa says “Holiday” next time?
60%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Visa: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/V/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=visa&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=visa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP