Will Target say “Tailwind”?
Target did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 7, 1, 0, 0, 3, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Target
Tailwind
- Probability
- 57% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…cautious about the near-term operating environment. With consumers weighing multiple headwinds and tailwinds, and recent dips in consumer sentiment, we continue to place a premium…
…that continues to be resilient. We know they had some headwinds and tailwinds they were managing in the first quarter, and so we'll continue to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…costs, our gross margin rate would have expanded last year. An important tailwind to last year's gross margin rate was lower inventory shrink, which delivered…
…and create additional fuel for our business. We expect that the aggregate tailwind from these profit rate opportunities will exceed any P&L investments we will…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the balance of the year. But the headwind -- or sorry, the tailwinds we're seeing from shrink and productivity and what we'll expect to see…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Tailwind |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Target say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
- Target did not say “Tailwind” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 7, 1, 0, 0, 3, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Target say “Tailwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Target says “Tailwind” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Target: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TGT/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=target&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=target&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP