Sprouts (SFM)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 9 word markets on Sprouts’ earnings calls since 2026, on 9 different words. Next call: Oct 28, 2026 (15 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personalization | 1 time: Personalization, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 4 times: Personalization, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Personalization, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Personalization, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Personalization, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 8 times: Personalization, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Personalization, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: Personalization, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 22/5342% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 89¢ Kalshi |
| Inflation | 4 times: Inflation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 5 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 11 times: Inflation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 0/80% | 47/5389% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| E-commerce | 6 times: E-commerce, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 10 times: E-commerce, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: E-commerce, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: E-commerce, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: E-commerce, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: E-commerce, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: E-commerce, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: E-commerce, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 32/5360% | 83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 93¢ Kalshi |
| Delivery | 0 times: Delivery, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 2 times: Delivery, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Delivery, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Delivery, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Delivery, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Delivery, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Delivery, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Delivery, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 35/5366% | 65%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 71¢ Kalshi |
| Seed Oil | 0 times: Seed Oil, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Seed Oil, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Seed Oil, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Seed Oil, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Seed Oil, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Seed Oil, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Seed Oil, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Seed Oil, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 5/862% | 5/539% | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Self-distribution3+ times | 0 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25 | 7 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold | 4 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 9 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Self-distribution (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | rising | 4/850% | 2/825% | 4/538% | 53%transcripts from the transcript model | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Instacart | 1 time: Instacart, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Instacart, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 3 times: Instacart, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Instacart, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Instacart, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Instacart, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Instacart, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Instacart, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 0/80% | 25/5347% | 51%transcripts from the transcript model | 42¢ Kalshi |
| Holiday | 4 times: Holiday, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Holiday, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Holiday, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Holiday, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Holiday, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 4/850% | 2/825% | 33/5362% | 50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 79¢ Kalshi |
| Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 3 times: Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/532% | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Coffee2+ times | 0 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25 | 3 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Coffee (2+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Coffee (2+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 2/534% | 39%transcripts from the transcript model | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Pasturebird / Pasture Bird | 1 time: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Pasturebird / Pasture Bird, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/534% | 37%transcripts from the transcript model | 38¢ Kalshi |
| Wellness Bowl2+ times | 0 times: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, below the threshold | 1 time: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, below the threshold | 2 times: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Wellness Bowl (2+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/532% | 29%transcripts from the transcript model | 28¢ Kalshi |
| Revenue | 0 times: Revenue, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Revenue, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Revenue, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Revenue, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Revenue, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Revenue, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Revenue, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Revenue, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 18/5334% | 26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 26¢ Kalshi |
| Buddy Brewnever said | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Buddy Brew, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/530% | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | 19¢ Kalshi |
| Successionnever said | 0 times: Succession, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Succession, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Succession, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Succession, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Succession, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Succession, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Succession, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Succession, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/530% | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | 31¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–3 of 3, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNAP / Food Stamp | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 4 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: SNAP / Food Stamp, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 2/825% | 0/80% | 4/538% | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 3 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 3/838% | 0/80% | 4/538% | 31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Vitamin | 1 time: Vitamin, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Vitamin, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Vitamin, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Vitamin, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Vitamin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Vitamin, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Vitamin, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Vitamin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 2/825% | 41/5377% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 9 of 9 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 9 | 5 yes · 4 no | 9/9 (100%) |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Sprouts (SFM): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SFM (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/sprouts · words: /api/v1/history?entity=sprouts · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP