Will Rocket Lab say “Orbit”?

Rocket Lab said “Orbit” 9 times on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 6, 3, 6, 3, 9, 5, 9 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Orbit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Rocket Lab

Orbit

Probability
93% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…strategy. Rocket Lab is no stranger to building satellites for low Earth orbit and interplanetary missions, but these contracts are our first step into the…

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Q2. The mission from Space Force was clear: launch an Electron to orbit in just 24 hours. We did this in 16 hours and 42…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…lunar landers, orbiters, and re-entry missions. This is execution. Real missions on orbit now or in production and generating revenue. When the world's most sophisticated…

Peter BeckcompanyqaIn transcript

…about, to ultimately be able to provide services of our own in orbit. I mean, I think at this point there's a lot of capability…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Peter BeckcompanypreparedIn transcript

…launches in a single quarter to date. Meanwhile, there were no successful orbit launches of a new U.S. or European small launch vehicle in 2025…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 10, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 27, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 10 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Nov 10, 2025OrbitKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Rocket Lab say “Orbit” on its last earnings call?
Rocket Lab said “Orbit” 9 times on its Aug 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 6, 3, 6, 3, 9, 5, 9 times.
How often does Rocket Lab say “Orbit”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Rocket Lab said “Orbit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Nov 10, 2025.
What is the probability Rocket Lab says “Orbit” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Rocket Lab: ‘Orbit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RKLB/words/orbit (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rocket-lab&word=orbit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rocket-lab&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP