Will Reddit say “OpenAI / Open AI”?
Reddit did not say “OpenAI / Open AI” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Reddit said “OpenAI / Open AI” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
OpenAI / Open AI
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…ecosystem we live in. We have important partnerships with both Google and OpenAI. Those are very meaningful to us. I think it's mutual. We continue…
…powering the modern internet, $50 million-$60 million a year from Google and OpenAI seems like a pimple, I guess. How are the conversations changing heading…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Justin. So on the AI deals, really, our partnerships with Google and OpenAI I think we can see the growing importance of Reddit, Inc. Reddit,…
…lots of things there. I like the bigger one. On Google and OpenAI, how we feel about the citations, look, I think there's a lot…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…data partnerships. So, you mentioned a couple of big ones, Google and OpenAI. Like as I mentioned, we are talking to folks. It's important that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | OpenAI / Open AI |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | OpenAI / Open AI | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | OpenAI / Open AI | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OpenAI / Open AI |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OpenAI / Open AI | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Reddit say “OpenAI / Open AI” on its last earnings call?
- Reddit did not say “OpenAI / Open AI” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Reddit say “OpenAI / Open AI”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Reddit said “OpenAI / Open AI” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Reddit says “OpenAI / Open AI” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Reddit: ‘OpenAI / Open AI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RDDT/words/open-ai-or-openai (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reddit&word=open%20ai%20%2F%20openai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reddit&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP