Will Reddit say “Holiday”?

Reddit did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Reddit said “Holiday” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Reddit

Holiday

Probability
35% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 5, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Andrew VollerocompanyqaIn transcript

…last couple of quarters. And there was momentum as we were leaving the fourth quarter kind of toward the holiday season. Does that make sense?

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 13, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jennifer WongcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in the near term. Revenue from the Cyber Five week during the holiday period grew over 60% year-over-year. This was driven by a combination of…

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 5, 2026HolidayKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Reddit say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
Reddit did not say “Holiday” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Reddit say “Holiday”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Reddit said “Holiday” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 5, 2026.
What is the probability Reddit says “Holiday” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Reddit: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RDDT/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=reddit&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=reddit&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP