Will Progressive say “Inflation”?

Progressive said “Inflation” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 3, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Inflation” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

82%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Progressive

Inflation

Probability
82% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Tricia Griffithcompanyqa · 1:22:15Hear it 1:22:13, Tricia Griffith In transcript

…well. We want to take small bites. I think historically, especially with inflation when it went up in 2023, we've had to take such large…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Pat CallahancompanypreparedIn transcript

…commercial auto suggest the industry combined ratio improved, but once again posted an underwriting loss as it continues to face nuclear verdicts and social inflation.

Pat CallahancompanyqaIn transcript

…Q3 as policies renew. We're seeing kind of continued strong shopping as inflation and affordability for consumers remains tough, and insurance is a higher percentage…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 3, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John SauerlandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…top of that, margins were volatile due to the surge of auto-related inflation. Further, that same inflation drove significant investment market volatility. In response, we…

Jonathan BauercompanypreparedIn transcript

…job of helping with investment strategy through some significant swings in growth, inflation and employment. As our operating business has dealt with a very dynamic…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 6, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 4, 2026InflationKalshiYes1
May 5, 2026InflationKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did Progressive say “Inflation” on its last earnings call?
Progressive said “Inflation” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 3, 4, 1, 5, 2, 1 times.
How often does Progressive say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Inflation” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
What is the probability Progressive says “Inflation” next time?
82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Progressive: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PGR/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=progressive&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=progressive&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP