Will Progressive say “Headwind”?
Progressive did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Progressive
Headwind
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
Despite these headwinds, our commercial auto results continue to be excellent as we continued our streak of underwriting profitability well in excess of the industry.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…while growth in trucking was challenging as the industry continued to face headwinds. Commercial Lines also had an excellent profitability in contrast to what we…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…think longer term, we have great aspirations. Clearly, FHT has been a headwind, those are -- that was -- it's higher margin business, but we…
…starts the clock ticking. So that is a little bit of a headwind to PLE, but not when we think about our consumer life expectancy,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Progressive say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Progressive did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Progressive say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Progressive says “Headwind” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Progressive: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PGR/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=progressive&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=progressive&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP