Will Progressive say “Catastrophe”?
Progressive said “Catastrophe” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Catastrophe” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 77¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Progressive
Catastrophe
- Probability
- 57% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…ratio, which is a superior result. While 2025 benefited from a mild catastrophe season and favorable prior year development, underlying profitability was in line with…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Progressive versus year-end 2024. Property profitability was the beneficiary of a lighter-than-average catastrophe year and is also a reflection of the significant work we've done…
…sheet, we have fairly modest retentions in our reinsurance program, and our catastrophe limits are relatively high. This naturally allows us to need to hold…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…know our customers want and expect action to support their recovery. Our catastrophe services team responded quickly with empathy and respect to meet their needs.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Catastrophe |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Catastrophe | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Progressive say “Catastrophe” on its last earnings call?
- Progressive said “Catastrophe” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Progressive say “Catastrophe”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive said “Catastrophe” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Progressive says “Catastrophe” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Progressive: ‘Catastrophe’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PGR/words/catastrophe (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=progressive&word=catastrophe · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=progressive&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP