Will Progressive say “Buyback”?

Progressive did not say “Buyback” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 7, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive did not say “Buyback” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
14¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Progressive

Buyback

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tricia GriffithcompanyqaIn transcript

…of the board of directors to determine, you know, how much we buy back, which we did buy back, you know, a fair amount in…

Michael ZaremskianalystqaIn transcript

…earlier this year versus directing more of those excess funds towards a buyback? I don't know if you'd be willing to kind of share some…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 3, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Susan GriffithcompanyqaIn transcript

…our actions around that. And then, of course, we look at share buybacks if we believe it's under our intrinsic value. Of course, we always…

Susan GriffithcompanyqaIn transcript

…have a company-wide 10b5-1 that we file with certain price points to buy back stock if we think it's under our value. And so you'll…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Susan Patricia GriffithcompanyqaIn transcript

…been doing that and we'll continue to do that. And then we buy back shares of stock to reduce the dilution from our stock-based compensation…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 6, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 4, 2026BuybackKalshiNo0
May 5, 2026BuybackKalshiNo2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)

Questions

How many times did Progressive say “Buyback” on its last earnings call?
Progressive did not say “Buyback” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 7, 0, 2, 0 times.
How often does Progressive say “Buyback”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Progressive did not say “Buyback” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026.
What is the probability Progressive says “Buyback” next time?
47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Progressive: ‘Buyback’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PGR/words/buyback (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=progressive&word=buyback · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=progressive&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP