Will NVIDIA say “Iran / Middle East”?
NVIDIA did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “Iran / Middle East” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 23% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…new policy to promote US AI tech with trusted partners. On his Middle East tour, he announced historic investments. I was honored to join him…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Iran / Middle East |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “Iran / Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “Iran / Middle East” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP