Will Moody's say “Rate Cut”?
Moody's did not say “Rate Cut” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Moody's did not say “Rate Cut” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Moody's
Rate Cut
- Probability
- 22% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…hyperscaler stuff in a bit. If inflation remains under control and if we actually get a rate cut, that could trigger some incremental opportunistic refinancing.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…previously discussed, including historically tight spreads, strong investor demand, and the announced rate cut near quarter end as well as a pickup in M&A activity.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…are being revised downwards, and the magnitude and timing of Central Bank rate cuts remain very much in flux. We currently anticipate high yield spreads…
…now there are questions about the kind of pace and trajectory of rate cuts through the balance of the year. So there's just a number…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Moody's say “Rate Cut” on its last earnings call?
- Moody's did not say “Rate Cut” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Moody's say “Rate Cut”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Moody's did not say “Rate Cut” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Moody's says “Rate Cut” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Moody's: ‘Rate Cut’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCO/words/rate-cut (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=moodys&word=rate%20cut · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=moodys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP