Will Eli Lilly say “Phase 3”?

Eli Lilly said “Phase 3” 12 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 19, 22, 16, 21, 26, 20, 29, 12 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Phase 3” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

97%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Eli Lilly

Phase 3

Probability
97% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Dave Rickscompanyprepared · 3:33Hear it 3:27, Dave Ricks In transcript

…diabetes under the trade name Onswik, and positive top-line results in three phase III retatrutide trials in obesity. We added to our strong internal pipeline…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 6:52Hear it 6:46, Lucas Montarce In transcript

…driven by continued investment in our pipeline, including more than 40 active phase III programs. Our non-GAAP performance margin was 54.8%, an increase of nine…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 29 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

29 counted (28 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…trial, which we shared a few weeks ago. In the seventh positive phase III registration trial, Mounjaro showed cardiovascular safety and a lower risk of…

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…achieved several key pipeline milestones since our last earnings call, including positive phase III data for Jaypirca in combination with a time-limited regimen in adults…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · said 20 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

20 counted (20 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…Mounjaro and Kisanlo. We generated positive clinical data in more than 25 phase three trials, including registrational trials to support two new incretins, Orforglipron and…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 26 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 21 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 16 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · said 22 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 19 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 4, 2026Phase 3PolymarketYes20

Questions

How many times did Eli Lilly say “Phase 3” on its last earnings call?
Eli Lilly said “Phase 3” 12 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 19, 22, 16, 21, 26, 20, 29, 12 times.
How often does Eli Lilly say “Phase 3”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Phase 3” on the only call with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 4, 2026.
What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Phase 3” next time?
97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Phase 3’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/phase-3 (CC BY 4.0)

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