Will Eli Lilly say “Medicare / Medicaid”?

Eli Lilly said “Medicare / Medicaid” 5 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 6, 4, 1, 1, 15, 9, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Medicare / Medicaid” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Eli Lilly

Medicare / Medicaid

Probability
93% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave Rickscompanyprepared · 4:43Hear it 4:37, Dave Ricks In transcript

…partnership with the US government, we reached an important milestone to improve Medicare access to anti-obesity medicines. As shown on slide six, the Medicare GLP-1…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 13:22Hear it 13:20, Lucas Montarce In transcript

…drive brand awareness among physicians and consumers. The recent launch of the Medicare GLP-1 Bridge program is an opportunity to expand the oral market, unlocking…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…a new GLP-1 molecule, and of course, building broad access in commercial, Medicare via the Bridge program, and later Medicaid access for patients. While the…

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…the level of employer interest. Second, CMS announced the extension of the Medicare GLP-1 Bridge program, which provides access to obesity medicines to people with…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · said 15 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

15 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

David RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…provide access to obesity medicines to millions of Americans with insurance through Medicare and Medicaid. We're proud of our ability to bring these important medicines…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 7 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 4, 2026Medicare / MedicaidKalshiYes15

Questions

How many times did Eli Lilly say “Medicare / Medicaid” on its last earnings call?
Eli Lilly said “Medicare / Medicaid” 5 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 6, 4, 1, 1, 15, 9, 5 times.
How often does Eli Lilly say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Medicare / Medicaid” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 4, 2026.
What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Medicare / Medicaid” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Medicare / Medicaid’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/medicaid-or-medicare (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=medicaid%20%2F%20medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP