Will Eli Lilly say “China” 5+ times?

Eli Lilly said “China” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and 5+ times on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Eli Lilly saying “China” 5+ times has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

28%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Eli Lilly

China (5+ times)

Probability
28% · n=0
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 4 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 8:18Hear it 8:17, Lucas Montarce In transcript

…revenue grew 30% in constant currency, driven by MOUNJARO and KISUNLA. In China, revenue grew by 93% in constant currency, driven by the uptake of…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 10:12Hear it 10:09, Lucas Montarce In transcript

…with Alzheimer's disease and accessing treatment. Outside the U.S., solid performance in China and Japan contributed to growth as well. Finally, in Cardiometabolic Health, MOUNJARO…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 4 times (below the threshold)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Lucas MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…42% in constant currency, driven by Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes. In China, revenue growth accelerated with the inclusion of Mounjaro on the National Reimbursement…

Lucas MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…U.S., and the strong growth of Mounjaro in Brazil, U.K., Korea, and China, among others, has resulted in additional share of market gains in Q1,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Lucas MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…US as well, driven by double-digit volume growth in Europe, Japan, and China. In the rest of the world, volume doubled, driven by the launch…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 2 times (below the threshold)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · said 3 times (below the threshold)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 1 time (below the threshold)

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Questions

How many times did Eli Lilly say “China” on its last earnings call?
Eli Lilly said “China” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and 5+ times on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 4, 4 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘China (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/china-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=china%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP