Will General Mills say “Tariff”?
General Mills did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 23, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 6, 0, 4, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, General Mills said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
General Mills
Tariff
- Probability
- 56% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Sure, Matt. It does include expectations for tariff refunds. I think as a reminder, our biggest tariff exposure is on steel and aluminum. Those tariffs…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…inflation forecast, despite puts and takes, remains roughly around that 3% mark. Tariffs certainly comfortably within that range. And as we look at kind of…
…to step up a little further. So in aggregate, 3% base, we're still comfortable with the 1% to 2% guide on the tariff additional headwind.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…return on that investment. Second, as we think about the nature of tariffs, we expect to be able to mitigate some of the effects of…
…what we need to do. In terms of what comes next and tariffs and inflation, I mean, your guess is kind of as good as…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did General Mills say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- General Mills did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 23, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 6, 0, 4, 0 times.
- How often does General Mills say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, General Mills said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 1, 2026.
- What is the probability General Mills says “Tariff” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “General Mills: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GIS/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=general-mills&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=general-mills&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP