Will Carvana say “Sebastian”?

Carvana said “Sebastian” 3 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 3 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Carvana said “Sebastian” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Sebastian

Probability
59% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernie Garciacompanyqa · 23:38Hear it 23:36, Ernie Garcia In transcript

I think that may take the form of Sebastian, so it may happen in chat, or it may take the form of different kind of…

Ron Joseyanalystqa · 22:40Hear it 22:37, Ron Josey In transcript

…was question one. Then with all the comments on AI and the Sebastian being used more and more, just any insights on conversion rates given…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ernest GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…I think a major set of tools that contributes to that is Sebastian and other tools that emerge from that AI brain. So I think…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ernie GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…can see kind of our first and currently most developed application is Sebastian, which is our chatbot online. I think that represents the brain that…

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026SebastianKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Sebastian” on its last earnings call?
Carvana said “Sebastian” 3 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 3 times.
How often does Carvana say “Sebastian”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Carvana said “Sebastian” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Sebastian” next time?
59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Sebastian’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/sebastian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=sebastian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP