Will Carvana say “Tailwind”?

Carvana said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Tailwind

Probability
36% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernie Garciacompanyqa · 51:22Hear it 51:16, Ernie Garcia In transcript

…went up $500 or $600 and ours didn't move, that should be a tailwind in the grand scheme of things once all that settles out.

John Colantuonianalystqa · 15:39Hear it 15:34, John Colantuoni In transcript

…levels since April. I'm curious if you're expecting to see an incremental tailwind to Retail GPU from this dynamic in the third quarter, given you…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernest GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…so there's certainly -- we would expect for there to be conversion tailwinds as we continue to work on this in Phoenix. And then once…

Christopher BottiglierianalystqaIn transcript

…was another Fed rate cut in Q4. So that should be another tailwind that mitigates lapping that. But it sounds like you're going to reinvest…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernest C. GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…higher utilization to come in the future, and that will be a tailwind to results and we have more locations to hire more people and…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 29, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Carvana said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Carvana say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Tailwind” next time?
36%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP