Will Carvana say “Market Share”?

Carvana said “Market Share” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 12, 5, 1, 0, 3, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Carvana said “Market Share” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

73%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
74¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Market Share

Probability
73% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ernie Garciacompanyprepared · 1:27Hear it 1:25, Ernie Garcia In transcript

…just two years ago. That sales volume puts us at just 2% market share of the used car market and 1.5% of the auto retail…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Mark Jenkinscompanyprepared · 7:39In transcript

…awareness, understanding and trust in our customer offering. With a nearly 2% market share in the U.S. used vehicle retail market, compared to approximately 20%…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Mark JenkinscompanypreparedIn transcript

…building awareness, understanding and trust of our customer offering. With approximately 1.6% market share of the used vehicle retail market compared to approximately 20% e-commerce…

Ernest GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…just kind of laying the foundations for long-term secular growth in our market share because we're delivering great experiences to people that they're going to…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026Market ShareKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Market Share” on its last earnings call?
Carvana said “Market Share” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 12, 5, 1, 0, 3, 1, 1 times.
How often does Carvana say “Market Share”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Carvana said “Market Share” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Market Share” next time?
73%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Market Share’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/market-share (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=market%20share · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP