Will Costco say “Iran / Middle East”?
Costco said “Iran / Middle East” 2 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 2, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 79¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Costco
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 75% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…and inflation on items directly affected by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, such as gas, motor oil, and resins, were the biggest drivers.…
…I think especially because of the uncertainty around the situation with the Middle East and how long that might impact and what you might see…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…in the third quarter than our gas business. As events in the Middle East have had a significant impact on product supply and gas prices,…
…low inventory exposure to shipping issues stemming from the situation in the Middle East, but we continue to monitor the situation closely. In digital, we…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…look at the rest of the fiscal year, the situation in the Middle East could impact fuel costs and shipping schedules if there is instability…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Iran / Middle East |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Costco say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- Costco said “Iran / Middle East” 2 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 4, 2, 2 times.
- How often does Costco say “Iran / Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Costco says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
- 75%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP