Will Coherent say “Silicon Photonics”?
Coherent did not say “Silicon Photonics” on its Aug 12, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 6, 3, 7, 2, 9, 4, 3, 0 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Coherent did not say “Silicon Photonics” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Coherent
Silicon Photonics
- Probability
- 71% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Thanks, Sean. As you mentioned at OFC, we demonstrated 400G silicon photonics that would enable 3.2T. That we demonstrated that, but it could be used…
…we believe we have a path to 3.2T or 400G per lane silicon photonics based on that demonstration. We certainly expect to have both solutions…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…with the early phase of the ramp driven by our EML and silicon photonics-based transceivers, followed by our 200 gig VCSEL-based 1.6 T ramping in…
…is driven by both EML-based transceivers for 1.6 T as well as silicon photonics. But we expect VCSEL-based 1.6 T transceivers to start to ramp…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
9 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…types of 1.6T transceivers based on 3 different types of laser sources; silicon photonics, EML and VCSEL. Our 1.6T transceivers based on silicon photonics and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Silicon Photonics |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Coherent say “Silicon Photonics” on its last earnings call?
- Coherent did not say “Silicon Photonics” on its Aug 12, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 6, 3, 7, 2, 9, 4, 3, 0 times.
- How often does Coherent say “Silicon Photonics”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Coherent did not say “Silicon Photonics” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Coherent says “Silicon Photonics” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Coherent: ‘Silicon Photonics’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COHR/words/silicon-photonic (CC BY 4.0)
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