AAR (AIR)

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 20 word markets on AAR’s earnings calls since 2026, on 13 different words. Next call: Jan 5, 2027 (10 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

10 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

AAR: the words listed for Tue, Jan 5, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ2’25Jan '25Q3’25Mar '25Q4’25Jul '25Q1’26Sep '25Q2’26year agoQ3’26Mar '26Q4’26Jul '26Q1’27last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
MRO Holdings0 times: MRO Holdings, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: MRO Holdings, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: MRO Holdings, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: MRO Holdings, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: MRO Holdings, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: MRO Holdings, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: MRO Holdings, Q4’26 Jul '2637 times: MRO Holdings, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%1/612%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts74¢ Kalshi
Synergy9 times: Synergy, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Synergy, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said8 times: Synergy, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Synergy, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said6 times: Synergy, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Synergy, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Synergy, Q4’26 Jul '2612 times: Synergy, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%6/875%14/6123%80%transcripts from the transcript model70¢ Kalshi
Delta2 times: Delta, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Delta, Q3’25 Mar '256 times: Delta, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Delta, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said4 times: Delta, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said6 times: Delta, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said5 times: Delta, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Delta, Q1’27 Sep '26steady6/875%4/850%19/6131%70%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts27¢ Kalshi
Oklahoma City1 time: Oklahoma City, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: Oklahoma City, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said3 times: Oklahoma City, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Oklahoma City, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said3 times: Oklahoma City, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Oklahoma City, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said2 times: Oklahoma City, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Oklahoma City, Q1’27 Sep '26falling7/888%7/888%16/6126%59%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts46¢ Kalshi
El Salvador0 times: El Salvador, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: El Salvador, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: El Salvador, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: El Salvador, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: El Salvador, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: El Salvador, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: El Salvador, Q4’26 Jul '263 times: El Salvador, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%1/612%49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts66¢ Kalshi
Aircraft Reconfig0 times: Aircraft Reconfig, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Aircraft Reconfig, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Aircraft Reconfig, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Aircraft Reconfig, Q1’26 Sep '251 time: Aircraft Reconfig, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Aircraft Reconfig, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said1 time: Aircraft Reconfig, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Aircraft Reconfig, Q1’27 Sep '26rising3/838%3/838%3/615%37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts25¢ Kalshi
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Sep '251 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’27 Sep '26steady2/825%2/825%12/6120%25%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts20¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jan '256 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said1 time: Tariff, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Tariff, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Tariff, Q1’27 Sep '26falling2/825%0/80%2/613%14%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts10¢ Kalshi
Headwind0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Mar '253 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Headwind, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Headwind, Q1’27 Sep '26falling1/812%1/812%10/6116%13%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts25¢ Kalshi
Pritzkernever said0 times: Pritzker, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Pritzker, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Pritzker, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Pritzker, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Pritzker, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Pritzker, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Pritzker, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Pritzker, Q1’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/610%11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts15¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Every word

1–4 of 4, most settled first
AAR: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ2’25Jan '25Q3’25Mar '25Q4’25Jul '25Q1’26Sep '25Q2’26Jan '26Q3’26Mar '26Q4’26Jul '26Q1’27last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Oil0 times: Oil, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Oil, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Oil, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Oil, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Oil, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Oil, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Oil, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Oil, Q1’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%5/618%10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Shutdown / Shut Down0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%4/617%10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Irannever said0 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Iran, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Iran, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Iran, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Iran, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Iran, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Iran, Q1’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/610%11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Ottonever said0 times: Otto, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Otto, Q3’25 Mar '250 times: Otto, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Otto, Q1’26 Sep '250 times: Otto, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Otto, Q3’26 Mar '260 times: Otto, Q4’26 Jul '260 times: Otto, Q1’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/610%11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 20 of 20 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Sep 29, 2026Earnings call FY27 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript112 yes · 9 no11/11 (100%)
Jul 21, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 24, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript93 yes · 6 no9/9 (100%)
Jan 6, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Sep 23, 2025Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 16, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 27, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 7, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Sep 23, 2024Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 18, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Mar 21, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Dec 21, 2023Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “AAR (AIR): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AIR (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/aar · words: /api/v1/history?entity=aar · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP