Will AAR say “Tariff”?
AAR did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 6, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
AAR
Tariff
- Probability
- 14% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…shipments to certain of our Chinese customers as a result of the tariff behavior there earlier in the quarter. But other airlines around the world,…
…commercial USM and defense? And then also, do you see any airlines potentially over-ordering parts in the quarter to try and get ahead of tariffs?
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…We naturally like everybody we're paying attention to the changing landscape in tariffs. It could impact us in a few different ways. So first of…
…been in an inflationary environment for some time. So even before the tariffs were part of the narrative, the OEMs have been, our OEM partners…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did AAR say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- AAR did not say “Tariff” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 6, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does AAR say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026.
- What is the probability AAR says “Tariff” next time?
- 14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “AAR: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AIR/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=aar&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=aar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP