Will AAR say “Headwind”?

AAR did not say “Headwind” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 5, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
25¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

AAR

Headwind

Probability
13% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 6, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

John Mc Clain HolmescompanypreparedIn transcript

…additional volume coming from cross-selling. In Integrated Solutions, we have certain near-term headwinds driven by the Department of State cost reduction efforts, which we expect…

Sean M. GillencompanyqaIn transcript

…facility in this quarter, we'd expect that to improve, and then that headwind will be out of the results for the balance of the year.

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 27, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 7, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 29, 2026HeadwindKalshiNo0
Mar 24, 2026HeadwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did AAR say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
AAR did not say “Headwind” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does AAR say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Headwind” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026.
What is the probability AAR says “Headwind” next time?
13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “AAR: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AIR/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=aar&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=aar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP