Will AAR say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
AAR did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 10% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
10%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
AAR
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 10% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did AAR say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- AAR did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Sep 29, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does AAR say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, AAR did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 24, 2026.
- What is the probability AAR says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 10%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “AAR: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AIR/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=aar&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=aar&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP